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Published Sep 20, 2019
Week 4 - Matchup Cheat Sheet: Florida State Seminoles
Conor Shea  •  CardinalSports
Staff
Twitter
@curlyshea

Louisville heads south for its first true road in Tallahassee. If Louisville can upset FSU and return home with a chance to start the season 4-1 against BC then this could be a huge game.

Forecast:

Tailgate: Hot. High of 90. Winds NE at 10mph. Maybe some clouds in the afternoon.

Kickoff: HOT.

· Postgame: Mostly clear with temps falling all the way to the high 60s. 0% chance of precipitation. Winds E at 9 mph.

Key Times:

1:30pm – Mark Ennis pregame show on 93.9 The Ville at The Blind Squirrel

3:30pm – Kick Off. Join us fellas at CardinalSports.com at our Watch Party at Baxter’s 942. We’ll have plenty of food and drink specials to go around, and everyone in the CardinalSports community will have a chance to meet each other in person!

Postgame: Mark Ennis will host postgame show on 93.9 The Ville.

Miscellaneous:

Come to Baxter’s 942. That is all.

Watch/Listen

TV: ESPN

Online stream: WatchESPN

On the call: Mark Jones (play-by-play), Dusy Dvoracek (analyst), and Olivia Dekker (sideline)

SiriusXM: Home – 193, Away – 210

Series:

FSU leads 15-4

Last win: 2018, FSU 28 – UofL 24 (Dumbest game ever)

FSU Players to Worry About

Offense:

#3 RB Cam Akers – 387yds in 3 games, 5.6ypr, 3 TDs. Dude is scary.

#15 WR Tamorrian Terry – 234yds, 16.7ypc, long of 75yds, 1 TD

Defense:

#23 DB Hamsah Nasirildeen – 28 tackles (19 solo), 1 PBU, 3 FF.


Keys to the Game

1. Pass the Ball – To beat a team as talented UofL is going to have to throw the ball. We can’t ground-and-pound all day with the guys that FSU has up front. FSU’s secondary has a tendency for giving a little too much cushion and allowing short chunk passes, which should suit Puma Pass nicely.

2. Melt the Clock – FSU’s defense has shown a tendency to wear down and get tired towards the end of games. If Louisville can keep the ball moving on the ground and create long-lasting, clock-draining drives, then they can set themselves up for some big plays once FSU has been lulled to sleep.

3. Slow Down Akers – The Seminoles’ offense has been markedly better than last season’s, and that’s thanks in large part to the ridiculous talent that is Cam Akers. He’s a massive, bruising back that loves creating yards after contact. UofL is going to have to slow him down and get FSU into more third-and-long situations where FSU has been horrendous.

Predictions

Vegas: FSU -7, o/u 61. This means Vegas estimates a score of 34-27

SP+: +9.1, with 30% win probability. 36-27. (Pre-season +16.1 with 18% win probability)

ESPN’s FPI: 30.1% win probability.

Mark Ennis (3-0): FSU 30 – Louisville 20

Dave Lackford (3-0): Louisville 24 – FSU 20 (Let’s hope Dave keeps his perfect record this week)

Ty Spalding (3-0): FSU 24 – Louisville 21

Conor Shea (3-0): FSU 24 – Louisville 17